In 2017, the oil price predicts whether the 54.51 high point can be compromised? Crude oil asphalt, silver natural gas market trend analysis

The fund manager's mouse warehouse, said that the capital preservation has become a huge loss, and the fund is pitted to the [fund exposure station]! The credit card was stolen without any reason, the bank deposit became insurance, and the financial management was cheated, please poke [Financial Exposure Desk]!

Original title: 2017 oil price God predicts whether the 54.51 high point can be compromised? Crude oil asphalt, silver natural gas market trend analysis

In the blink of an eye, 2016 will pass, and there will be only five days left, and this week's news is light. Because there is a New Year's Day holiday after Christmas, investors are cautious. However, analysts said that crude oil prices may still hit a high of $54.51 this week, due to OPEC production reduction agreement!

Last Friday (December 23), President Vladimir Putin said at the year-end press conference that Russia will reduce oil production and cooperate with OPEC to support global oil prices. Putin said he hopes oil prices will stabilize at current levels, and the current oil price is higher than the average of $40 per barrel assumed in the Russian budget. He also said that after the oil-producing countries cut production, the rise in oil prices will benefit Russia. If the average price of oil can be kept at $50 per barrel, the 2017 budget will generate an additional 1.75 trillion rubles ($28.65 billion).

Kuwaiti Oil Minister Essam Al-Marzouk has stated that the OPEC and non-OPEC oil country monitoring committees will meet in the first half of January, but the venue has not yet been decided. Russia and Oman will represent non-OPEC oil producers.

The Super Gold Review believes that although it has entered the last week of 2016, it also means that 2017 is approaching, and the formal implementation of the OPEC production reduction agreement will be approached, and the market will inevitably send more news. If this week continues to improve, the international crude oil price will continue. It is not impossible to refresh the high of $54.51!

[Analysis of crude oil asphalt market trend]

Last week, it was relatively dull. The weekly line ended with a very small cross K. It basically ended in shock. The key point of last week's continuous testing was at $53.73, but from the trend of the daily line, crude oil two. The test of the high point of 52.24, this is also the historical high point before the frozen production agreement, and then support the crude oil up, this is secondary support confirmation, the first support confirmation is 49.5 first line, the frozen production reached all the way back to confirm 49.5, until now maintain high Concussion, the trend of crude oil is very regular, but few people use this law. Another rule is that crude oil has been maintaining a high level of volatility. This means that the bulls are exploding, at least at the moment of the weekly golden fork, you should understand this truth. . At the end of this month, the daily, weekly, monthly, and annual four lines will close soon, can the market break out? Can the market reverse? How big is the volatility in the big market? The Super Gold Award invites you to witness the “Most Smoke of the Market” in 2016!

Crude oil is always bullish, it is only a short-term adjustment, but the limit of rising is also in the 55.2 US dollar line, above 53.75 US dollars, below 52.5 US dollars, at the end of the triangular shock, is a broken market Weixin attack This kind of gold is worthy of entanglement, so this week should be unilateral! 53.75 and 52.2 are two very critical positions, which will be unilateral after breaking this week! Judging from the daily line on Friday, the trend of opening higher and higher this Monday is more obvious. The top pressure is 53.75 US dollars, and the first time it touches 53.75 US dollars. I think it can be empty! If the US market doubles the high position and breaks the position of $53.75, it can be followed up in a single order! On Monday, due to Christmas holiday, the idea can only be delayed until Tuesday!

Crude oil asphalt operation strategy (short-term high-altitude, long-term layout more than one):

Strategy 1, the oil price back to step on 52.5 to stabilize the intervention more than single, the default stop loss, the target to see near 53.5-54.0 US dollars;

Strategy 2, the price rebound for the first time hit the first $53.8 into the empty order, the default stop loss, the target is near 53.4-53.2 US dollars;

Strategy 3: If the oil price directly breaks through $53, the short position will be followed directly by the $52.4-52.2.

[White Bank Trend Analysis]

After the bottom of the silver, the overall stability of the bottom of the bottom of the shock, after the high to 16.15 US dollars, the market fell again, the current market gold and silver rebound is weak, short-term break below 15.50 is not the time, the super gold review is expected to be the recent silver price Maintaining the trend of volatility and downward trend, last week's Fed rate hike has intensified the downside risk of silver prices. Currently, the support is lower at $15.76, and if the innovation is lower than $15.5, the operational thinking remains unchanged. The short-term concern range is 15.8-16.3. In this interval, the high-altitude is mainly low. The previous low point of 15.6 is the support, and the high-altitude is the main one. The short-term is the supplement. Therefore, this week's super-golden recommendation suggests that silver is still short-selling.

Silver operation strategy:

Strategy 1, an empty order near $15.85, with a target of $15.5-15.3 and a stop loss of $16;

Strategy 2, more than a single $15.3 near the market, the target of 15.5 US dollars, stop loss of 15.15 US dollars.

[Three Forecasts of Oil Price in 2017]

1: OPEC production reduction agreement officially implemented

The implementation of the OPEC production reduction agreement in 2017 is naturally excellent. If the production reduction agreement is implemented as scheduled, the crude oil price will inevitably stabilize 55, and then the 60 mark will be tested. Also, if it continues to improve, it is possible to rise to 70 ceilings in 2017.

2: OPEC production reduction agreement noisy moth

Iraq is still the biggest destabilizing factor in OPEC's production cuts, and whether OPEC and non-OPEC oil producing countries can strictly abide by the reduction of production quotas is also the biggest question. Therefore, in 2017, the OPEC production reduction agreement has a high probability of roaring moths. If this phenomenon occurs, the crude oil price will fall below the 50 mark, and the upper 60 dollars may become the highest point. In 2017, the range will continue to fluctuate between 40-60 dollars.

3: OPEC production reduction agreement boosts the effect

Earlier, some US shale oil producers said that if OPEC cut production, international oil prices continued to rebound and shale oil will continue to increase production. This undoubtedly prompted OPEC to reduce production, and the effect of boosting the rebound of international oil prices will be suppressed. International oil prices may hardly rise to the ceiling of 70 US dollars in 2017, and the probability of continuing to fluctuate in the range of 55-65 US dollars is greater.

[Can the development trend of crude oil fall back, how can the empty quilt cover be solved? 】

The Super Gold Review believes that when doing market analysis, it depends on fundamentals, technical aspects and market reactions. The three aspects are the safest when they point to the same. A weekly newsletter, master the status quo, analyze the data, predict the market, and make a steady statement. Both the support level and the pressure level are at the high and low points of the neckline and the sideways. The dense place of the sideways is the key position of support and pressure. Once the intensive position is broken, the market is basically a big market, and many retail investors are big. Part of the transaction is done in accordance with the Bollinger shock zone, bilateral transactions, once the unilateral market appears on the daily line, then you are basically dumbfounded.

Correct analysis is only the first step to successful investment, and implementing a trading plan is a key to success. Successful investment requires not only correct market analysis, but also correct risk management. Correct psychological control. If the pace of the steps is wrong, it is definitely the disconnection of the links. The psychological control between the three is the most important, followed by risk management, followed by analytical skills. Everything has its beginnings and ends with it. This is the law of nature, and so is the gold market. Tao, very mysterious thing, in fact, everything has its own way, the road is everywhere, and the law is the same, the essence of the Tao is the same, you can completely understand from everything around you, and then prove In the gold market, the idea is clear that there will be no blindness to the operation.

Website invites to settle in, institutions, TV station cooperation matters, investment questions and answers, and other concerns, the author is super-golden evaluation, letter jp1835

Writer / super gold review - letter jp1835

Enter [Sina Finance and Economics Unit] Discussion